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Through games of Mar 17, 2013.

Southern California

Conference:P12
Expected RPI:118.0
Current RPI:118
Expected SOS:30
Current Record:14-18
Expected Record:14-18
Current Conf Record:9-10
Expected Conf Record:9-10
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:1-3
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:1-6
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:4-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:6-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:2-0
Current OOC Record:5-8
Expected OOC Record:5-8
Expected OOC RPI:205
Expected OOC SOS:60


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
14-1843.75%118.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Southern California.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-9Coppin St. (313.0)MEACH87-73W100%0.0
11-13Long Beach St. (115.0)BWH62-44W100%0.0
11-19Illinois (40.0)B10N94-64L0%0.0
11-20Texas (116.0)B12N59-53W100%0.0
11-21Marquette (13.0)BEN64-72L0%0.0
11-25San Diego St. (30.0)MWCH60-66L0%0.0
12-3Nebraska (104.0)B10A63-51L0%0.0
12-5New Mexico (2.0)MWCA75-67L0%0.0
12-8Minnesota (34.0)B10H57-71L0%0.0
12-15UC Riverside (338.0)BWH70-26W100%0.0
12-20UC Irvine (125.0)BWH54-61L0%0.0
12-22Georgia (140.0)SECA64-56L0%0.0
12-30Dayton (114.0)A10H63-61W100%0.0
1-3Stanford (77.0)P12H71-69W100%0.0
1-5California (54.0)P12H64-72L0%0.0
1-10Colorado (38.0)P12A66-60L0%0.0
1-12Utah (161.0)P12A59-76W100%0.0
1-17Oregon (48.0)P12H74-76L0%0.0
1-19Oregon St. (181.0)P12H69-68W100%0.0
1-24Arizona St. (90.0)P12A98-93L0%0.0
1-26Arizona (16.0)P12A74-50L0%0.0
1-30UCLA (26.0)P12A71-75W100%0.0
2-7Washington St. (196.0)P12H72-68W100%0.0
2-10Washington (88.0)P12H71-60W100%0.0
2-14Stanford (77.0)P12A64-65W100%0.0
2-17California (54.0)P12A76-68L0%0.0
2-24UCLA (26.0)P12H59-75L0%0.0
2-27Arizona (16.0)P12H89-78W100%0.0
3-2Arizona St. (90.0)P12H57-56W100%0.0
3-6Washington (88.0)P12A65-57L0%0.0
3-9Washington St. (196.0)P12A76-51L0%0.0
3-13Utah (161.0)P12N66-69L0%0.0